I've never done a season preview for anything yet, so this is my first. I'm going to tell you where I think each team will finish in the conference and why (not specific records because that's insane), who will represent each team in the Finals, who I think will be the champs come June, and then some awards. Like MVP ROY stuff like that, nothing too crazy. Pretty standard stuff. I'm pumped for tomorrow and if you're reading this hopefully you are too. If you're not then stick around, read this, read some of my other blogs. Give me some feedback or whatever. I'm not telling you to do those things because it's your life, but do those things. Here we go!
Western Conference
1.) Golden State Warriors
I mean, obviously right? The best team in the West the last two years just added Kevin Durant to a roster that includes Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green. Throw in one of the best benches in the league and the Dubs dominance will continue. KD is already fitting in great and it'll only get better as the year goes on. The Warriors could (should) trade for a shot blocker because the man they drafted to essentially be Festus Ezeli's replacement (they're both athletic 7 footers from Vanderbilt for god's sake) Damian Jones isn't really NBA ready, and Javale McGee is a wildcard. Other than that this team should roll right to the Finals barring any major injuries.
2.) San Antonio Spurs
Some may think the Spurs will take a step back this year, and they will. I don't see them winning 67 games again, but they're certainly the second best team in a West that as a whole is getting weaker. You replace legend Tim Duncan, who didn't play as much or as well as usual last year, with Pau Gasol who is still a strong producer in the league. Tony Parker and Manu are getting older and it is starting to show but they're still good enough to keep the Spurs as the main threat to stopping the Warriors from reaching a third straight finals.
3.) Los Angeles Clippers
I think the Clippers could easily be the 2 seed in the West this year, I went with San Antonio because they're much more consistent. The Clippers have more star-power than the Spurs and have a great starting 5. The problem as usual with the Clips will be bench play and health. If their stars stay healthy, and more than just Jamal Crawford has an impact off the bench, then there's no reason they can't make their first West Finals since being in Cali and even challenging the Warriors.
4.) Portland Trail Blazers
Here's where the West gets tricky for me. After the 3 contenders it's about 7 teams who could round out the last 5 playoff spots. I think the Blazers will build on their success from last year. A year where people thought they'd fall of A LOT. Lillard and McCollum are a top 5 backcourt and they added some bench pieces in Evan Turner and Festus Ezeli. I think they'll have a good regular season and maybe win a playoff series but won't do more than that. Expect a big year from Lillard though, I think he may get some MVP consideration.
5.) Oklahoma City Thunder
I don't expect the Thunder to all of a sudden go back to being a lottery team. They have Westbrook still, and throw Victor Oladipo into the backcourt with him and that's a solid tandem. Still have Steven Adams and Enes Kanter down low. Losing Serge Ibaka and KD hurts a lot obviously but the foundation is solid enough to keep OKC in that mid-40 win range which should warrant a top 5 seed in the West. Plus how awesome would it be if they were the 4 or 5 seed and won to set up a matchup with Golden State. You know you'd watch just for the Russ v KD drama. Like if Cleveland hadn't been ass when LeBron abandoned them and made it as like the 8 seed vs Miami.
6.) Houston Rockets
You could argue the Rockets being 4 or 5 honestly. I don't think they'll win 60 games like in 2014-15, but I think Houston will have a great regular season. Because they will score, and score a lot. Mike D'Antoni will have his pick and roll rocking with Harden and Capela they added another shooter in Eric Gordon. The defense won't be good, but expect a lot of shoot outs with this team.
7.) Utah Jazz
This is the year the Jazz make the jump from 9 to in the field. They won't win a series in my opinion, but they'll finally make it after failing last year when everyone said they would. Great defense and some good scorers plus a guy you can trust in the clutch with Gordon Hayward. Add in do-it-all vet Boris Diaw there's no reason the Jazz should fail to sneak in the playoffs this year.
8.) Memphis Grizzlies
I wanted so badly to put the Minnesota Timberwolves in here, but I couldn't. The Grizzlies will be a lower seed again this year, in part because the talent isn't what it has been, and because their best three players, Conley, Gasol, and new addition Chandler Parsons, are all coming back from injuries. I think it'll be a slow start but Memphis will do just enough to sneak in and get bounced quickly.
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9.) Minnesota Timberwolves
I wanted to put Minnesota in the playoffs, I want them to make the playoffs, but I think they're a year away yet. The defense is already much improved being number 2 in defensive efficiency in the pre-season. They were number 27 last season. Tom Thibodeau is known as a defensive guy. They have great young talent in Karl Towns, Andrew Wiggins, Zach LaVine, and rookie Kris Dunn. And plus Thibs has never not made the playoffs as a head coach. He did take a Chicago team to 60 wins in his first year there, but they were a playoff team the year before. Minnesota won 29 games last year. A step up from 15 the year before, but pencil them in around 40 this year. The West isn't full of 7 50 win teams like 2 years ago, but there's still plenty of good teams that have been there before and aren't losing a lot of talent.
10.) Dallas Mavericks
Unless the Mavs make a mid-season block buster trade, they will fall. They added Seth Curry, who I think will be a very good bench player, injury-prone Andrew Bogut who's still effective when healthy, and Harrison Barnes to a roster that seemed to show it's age last year. Dirk literally can't play defense anymore and Bogut is getting old himself. They gave Barnes a max deal and he can't shoot to save his soul in the preseason. Making him your number 1 option, should never be an option. He was great as a complimentary player in Golden State. He will struggle in Dallas unless you surround him with great players and tell him to shoot when wide open. He doesn't create his own shot very well and he couldn't hit anything in the finals last year, and it appears it has carried over. Dallas will be on the outside looking in this year.
11.) New Orleans Pelicans
Health is the big concern with the Pels. AD is often injured and has to do everything for his team. This isn't a good defensive team. I love adding Buddy Hield, but they need more. Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday are expected to miss time to start the year. They didn't do anything really to improve a team that won 30 games last year. Davis needs more help if New Orleans wants to make the playoffs anytime soon.
12.) Denver Nuggets
So much young talent, how will it blend together? This team could knock on the door of the playoffs, or could win 28 games. Mike Malone is a good coach, but it's time for the Nuggets to maybe move some guys they don't see as part of the future of the team and find a foundation with the guys they do see as part of the future.
13.) Phoenix Suns
They have some good young guys, but don't expect a lot from the Suns this year. They found their 2 guard of the future in Devin Booker, drafted to add some front court depth, but still a lot of raw guys up there like Alex Len. It's going to take another year or two to really see what they have in them. In the meantime they should look to move either Eric Bledsoe or Brandon Knight for picks or more wing or front court depth. Maybe a definite backup point guard.
14.) Los Angeles Lakers
Love D'Angelo Russell, Julius Randle, and I think Brandon Ingram will be solid. Luke Walton will be a great head coach there. While they continue to rebuild the Lakers should look to move guys like Nick Young and Lou Williams to try and add better vets, or more young guys/draft picks. Maybe even consider moving Jordan Clarkson for a less ball-dominant backcourt mate for Russell, or move him to the bench if he'll accept it. The Lakers are still a ways away from being the Lakers again, but the future is bright for the Lake Show.
15.) Sacramento Kings
I have the Kings here because I say this is the year they finally trade Demarcus Cousins. He's not coming back to Sacramento, so they should finally trade him and get a lot back in return. End what has been an ugly marriage from the start. The Kings need a fresh start, because their franchise has been a mess for a while now. They need to get their front office in order, find a coach they'll be happy with if they aren't with Dave Joeger, and then start building through the draft with actual good picks this time. No more adding random vets and hoping it'll work out. No more firing 78 coaches a year. The Kings need order and they need to start by letting go Demarcus. They both need that.
Eastern Conference
1.) Cleveland Cavaliers
Not much has changed for the defending champs. Still got Bron Bron, Kyrie, K Love, JR, etc. The super team that everyone forgets is a super team. The only thing the Cavs are missing is a backup point after letting Delly walk to Milwaukee. Cavs won't win 65+ games or anything, but they should be the top seed in the East, and even if they aren't who's gonna stop them in the playoffs anyway? Exactly.
2.) Toronto Raptors
The best team in Toronto franchise history is back, and looking to suck less in the playoffs. They lost Bismack Biyombo who was good for them, and added Jared Sullinger, who I hate but they need more depth at the power forward. The problem is Sully got hurt and it's unclear when he'll be back. I still think Toronto will continue their trend of being a very good regular season team, maybe they'll be a bit of a threat in the East. Maybe.
3.) Boston Celtics
The Celtics are in for a very good year. They have one of the best coaches in the NBA in Brad Stevens, and a roster that was good and improved by adding Al Horford at a position of need. Al doesn't really address the need for better rebounding as well as other centers, but he's very good and very versatile and Boston is suddenly a piece or two away from being a contender again.
4.) Indiana Pacers
Paul George is going to have a great year, and so is Indiana. Adding Al Jefferson as a mentor to Myles Turner and as a bench scoring threat is great. Bringing in borderline all-star type point Jeff Teague is another move I like. I'd like it if they had a more traditional off guard instead of Monta Ellis, but Ellis is still an effective player. Look for Indiana to have success and for the Paul George-Lebron James rivalry to return this year.
5.) Atlanta Hawks
Dwight Howard isn't an upgrade over Al Horford, and I'd take Jeff Teague over Dennis Schroeder. That being said, the Hawks are still good, though don't expect them to be as good as they were the last two years under coach Bud. This year they'll fall back into the mix of about 9 teams that could round out the bottom half of the bracket in the East.
6.) Detroit Pistons
Reggie Jackson missing time hurts, but the good news is it's early. I expect Detroit to take a step forward this year (8 seed to 6 is huge, I know) though there's not much that separates them from the other 7 or 8 teams around this level and it's unlikely they'll cause a lot of trouble in the playoffs if they get there, but stranger things have happened and this year should be a good one for this young core in Motown.
7.) Charlotte Hornets
I'm putting Charlotte in the playoffs simply because they've been here before. Twice in the last three years. They lost Al Jefferson, but they still have Frank Kaminsky and Spencer Hawes. Lost Courtney Lee but Michael Kidd-Gilcrest is back this year. So the offense won't be what it was, but Steve Clifford is a very good defensive coach and I expect Charlotte to be back in the playoffs again this year, and a big year from Kemba Walker.
8.) Washington Wizards
I'm taking a risk and saying the Wizards will make the playoffs banking on the fact they stay fairly healthy. John Wall and Brad Beal is a top 3 or 4 backcourt, the problem is Beal is always hurt. He's great when in, just he needs to be in more often. This Wizards team has some depth, and decent role guys. Not a championship contender by any means, but if they can shoot well enough, and stay healthy then there's no reason they shouldn't make it.
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9.) Chicago Bulls
This year should be a train wreck with lot's of head butting in Chicago. Head butting between Wade, Rondo, and Butler. And those three butting heads with Fred Hoiberg. I think the Mayor would be a good NBA coach if he were hired by like Philly, or Brooklyn, or Phoenix. Not a franchise who can't get out of its own way and brought in two super alpha males to team up with their existing alpha male, and non of whom can shoot a 3 for shit. It should be an entertaining disaster in Chi town this year as this team throws up brick after brick trying to sneak into the post season. The only way they make it is if those three somehow find a way to coexist and their few shooters can consistently be lights-out. So good luck.
10.) New York Knicks
The Knicks have playoff talent this year. The issue is that their two biggest additions this year, Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah, are always hurt. Melo gets hurt more often now as well. And there's not much depth this year. They have Brandon Jennings and that's about it. Had this roster been constructed in 2010 then the Knicks would be title contenders. For the Knicks to even make the playoffs they'll need their stars to stay healthy, play well, and for Porzingis to continue his rapid growth. I think New York will fall just short this year.
11.) Miami Heat
Losing Wade and Chris Bosh is never good. Especially when you have to turn to Goran Dragic and Hassan Whiteside to lead your franchise as Justise Winslow continues to grow. I don't think Miami will make the post season this year, just not enough there.
12.) Milwaukee Bucks
People in my home state are FIRED UP about the young Bucks. I think they need to chill out, they're still the Bucks. I want the Bucks to succeed, I don't hate them. But they're still a front office you can never really trust, and still a team that can't shoot at all. Like Chicago bad, maybe worse. And their only really reliable shooter, Kris Middleton, is out to start the year. I love adding Delly as it's a natural fit, but he's still not great and expect that three point percentage to drop if he's the only guy the d needs to worry about. This is a team that won 33 games last year and didn't do much of anything to improve. I say they'll be around 40-43 this year, but they need more shooting to open things up for all their best players.
13.) Orlando Magic
An intriguing team, and the last of the group that can challenge for a low playoff seed. They have some great young guys in Mario Hezonja, Nick Vucivic, Elfrid Payton, and Aaron Gordon. But they traded away Oladipo for Serge Ibaka in a move that was puzzling to me. Gordon is their power forward of the future, so why bring in Ibaka who plays that same position and trade away a guard which they need? Orlando could maybe be the 8 seed, Frank Vogel is a great coach after all, but I doubt it. Another lottery year for the Magic.
14.) Philadelphia 76ers
The good news: Philly get's Joel Embid on the court for the first time since drafting him in 2014, and they won't suck as much.
The bad news: Number 1 overall pick Ben Simmons is expected to miss most of the year and they'll still suck.
15.) Brooklyn Nets
Just an abysmal roster. I'd be shocked if they won 20 games this year. Expect the worst Nets fans, and just know that your dumbass front office mortgaged your future to Boston for three washed up guys that brought you one playoff series win. Now you'll suck for the foreseeable future and the assholes in Boston will reap the benefits of it. You are a complete and utter joke of a franchise.
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East Champ
Cleveland Cavaliers
West Champ
Golden State Warriors
Finals Champ
Golden State Warriors
MVP
Paul George
ROY
Buddy Hield
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